Tagged “policy”

Some loose-ish estimates, but some staggering figures in there.

16% of the world bought 70% of the vaccines. What force on earth could stop them? None, so we needed the massive supply increases, which were effectively banned.

What fraction of all vaccines were wasted?

• by excessive dosing. No sign of the dosing regimes changing despite strong evidence. 50-75%?**
• by bad needle design. 10-30% more.

Also includes some good links and references. And honest disclaimer from the author:

Note: I'm not a engineer, I'm not an economist, I'm not a pharmacologist, I'm not an epidemiologist. There will be something wrong with the above, no doubt in misunderstanding the nature of vaccine engineering bottlenecks.

Instead, you should try to blend together the needed disciplines as best you can, consulting others when necessary, an offer the best plan you can, namely the best plan all things considered.

That might fill you with horror, but please recall from Tetlock that usually the generalists are the best predictors.