Tagged “prediction”

It is theoretically possible to sustain 10.4bn people within planetary boundaries

I am still undecided on this - was off it due to all the version changes and prompts breaking with fixes (mainly fixing exploits..), but ultimately some kind of language crafting will be inevitably useful.

Some good bits around how using past information can backfire. Either overfitting if looking too far back, or spending too much effort on predictions.

Enough effort goes into an initial forecast that updating your views when new information becomes available can trigger the sunk-cost fallacy and cause you to be right or wrong for the wrong reason.