Tagged “future”
Many other shoes are dropping
Some related disenchantment from HN
How To Survive The Apocalypse
Ask HN : What are the big/important problems to work on? : Hacker News
very HN that first reply is "work on open-source software"
Democracy is the solution to vetocracy - by Sam Bowman
AMP Robotics Launches Cortex Dual-Robot System for Recycling
interesting to watch if we can finally make recycling financially viable
Advice: How Do I Make Up For My Lost Years?
microsoft/BioGPT
Generative Pre-trained Transformer for Biomedical Text Generation and Mining
Title:Avoiding the Great Filter: A Simulation of Important Factors for Human Survival
Counterarguments to the basic AI risk case
How to Build a Home that Lasts a Thousand Years
Key things are it being repairable, with materials that can be sourced locally, and techniques that can be taught/learned.
How to Maintain Food Supplies in Future Pandemics
interesting for the stats of current waste/usage stats alone
‘Ticking away in the back of my mind’: what does it mean to know the risk embedded in your DNA?
does knowing the risk help, or cause added worry
Alec Stapp on Twitter: "California regulator just rejected a proposal for a desal plant
Treating high prices as reasons not to do a thing.. Though it wasn't the only reason; I have no idea of the impact of desal plants on marine life/ecosystem.
Beware Upward Reference Classes
Scott Aaronson will work at OpenAI for a 1 year sabbatical : Hacker News
Check back on his blog in a year
The Future is Vast: Longtermism’s perspective on humanity’s past, present, and future
Had read many of the ideas before, but the hourglass diagram was a fantastic visualisation of it. Recommends The Precipice.
Biggest risks to continued survival: nuclear war, pandemic, and evil AI.
Steph Smith generation-defining predictions thread
The Abundance Agenda
Alex T on the need for innovation in America
Why longtermism is the world’s most dangerous secular credo
'Klara And The Sun' Is A Masterpiece About Life, Love And Mortality
The review alone was very well written, quite excited for the book
The Psychology of Prediction
Some good bits around how using past information can backfire. Either overfitting if looking too far back, or spending too much effort on predictions.
Enough effort goes into an initial forecast that updating your views when new information becomes available can trigger the sunk-cost fallacy and cause you to be right or wrong for the wrong reason.
Tunnels are our Transportation Future
donoteat01's hyperloop take still has me very skeptical on tunnels as a viable transport alternative.
Notes on technology in the 2020s
Ambitious thing to estimate - I don't even try to predict a week ahead!
Some things to get excited about:
- mRNA tech
- geothermal power
- in-orbit manufacturing of things that cannot exist on Earth(!)
History will not remember us fondly
I think this also. We have the means to solve so many pressing problems but choose not to do so.
We possess the resources and production necessary to provide every human being on Earth with a comfortable living: adequate food, housing, health, and happiness. We have decided not to do so. We have achieved what one may consider the single unifying goal of the entire history of humanity: we have eliminated natural scarcity for our basic resources. We have done this, and we choose to deny our fellow humans their basic needs, in the cruel pursuit of profit. We have more empty homes than we have homeless people. America alone throws away enough food to feed the entire world population. And we choose to let our peers die of hunger and exposure.
The Chip Wars of the 21st Century
I would like to learn about chip foundries. No idea how that stuff gets made.
Progress, stagnation, and flying cars
Leapfrogging the IDE
Software 2.0 - Andrej Karpathy - Medium
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